Thursday late night – Late again

Friends,
   My deep apologies… again.. it’s now 1 AM and I have had only 7 hours or so of sleep inthe last 2 days. I have so many pictures and stories from the last two days that if I start to write them now.. I’ll be awake for another hour.. and I just can’t stay awake for that… I promise (!!!) that I’ll get all the photos in tomorrow and catch up with the day.
   For now.. let me go back to yesterday and the panel we did at USC. It’s customary at these things to hand out coomment cards so the audience can make anonnymous or signed comments and questions abotu the event. I understand that We got some  good feedback on the content of the paenl.. I haven’t seen that yet.. Bt they did just send me this .. It’s a pen drawing that one of the audience members did of us o his comment card..    .. Pretty amazing..

   I wonder what interesting alternative feedback we would get if we had the reverse of here, ie. a panel of movie and media types in fornt of an audience of engineers ..  ?

top left to bottom right this is   Melissa the anthropologist, me, Richard the USC graphics prof, Don the atom mover, Winfried the physicist-sailor-pilot-battery maker, and Tom the shwarzenegger anointed inventor-teacher

OK.. sleep beckons,  Again, I promise to catch up with a long blog tomorrow …
Nite all.. Nite Sam !
-me

Wednesday late night – 2050

Folks,
   My panel on 2050 went great.. It’s 2 AM PST (5 AM EST).. and I need to get some sleep.. so I’ll tell you about the panel and the day tomorrow. For now, I’d llike ot thank all the folks who wrote me on Facebook with their predictions. I used some of them !
Here they are for your viewing pleasure::;  For now., nite-nite !  Nite Sam !
-me

What would the wolrd in 2050 be like : ?

Beth Miller Esmond

I’m

thinking we’ll see an even bigger rise in telecommuting (or whatever

that will be called) and there will have to be some kind of societal

replacement for the more social aspects of the workplace. I don’t see

people as being satisfied with just Facebook and other virtual meeting

places. Maybe we’ll even enjoy a return to socializing in our Read Moreneighborhoods.

Or maybe there will be something really creative that we haven’t

thought of yet to bring us together. I also think that people will need

some kind of incentive (hopefully not mandate) to make healthier

choices. We can’t keep going this way . . . Good luck with your talk!

Yesterday at 3:33am · Delete
Garrett Koval

Garrett Koval

Zombies will take over by then, there will be groups of survivors all over the planet fighting them off.
Yesterday at 3:43am · Delete
Bethany Muller

Bethany Muller

The

war will be over, and we finally will have gotten the environment under

control, but skin cancer will be up 12%. And we will not longer have a

national debt.

Yesterday at 3:47am · Delete
Isak Aronov

Isak Aronov

don’t ask us… you know exactly what will happen….. 😉
Yesterday at 3:49am · Delete
Randy Darden

Randy Darden

What

about the aging of the population? With medical advances and DNA

research, will people be living longer? Will the median age of the

population continue to increase? What will the retirement age be? What

are the social implications? How many more golf courses will be

required 🙂

Yesterday at 3:57am · Delete
Randy Darden

Randy Darden

Sorry, that was a lot of questions with no predictions…..
Yesterday at 3:57am · Delete
Mark Colan

Mark Colan

Imagining

what is new is harder than imagining what we won’t have. Probably won’t

be importing produce from Asia; I imagine we will be buying more

hyper-local produce. Home BBQ probably illegal (carbon footprint).

Airline industry? Pricey if it exists at all.

Yesterday at 4:09am · Delete
Ben Ratner

Ben Ratner

In the year 2050, I think there will be a world market for maybe 5 computers.
Yesterday at 4:18am · Delete
Leah Pileggi

Leah Pileggi

Maybe by then, the non-news side of “Fox News” will finally called itself “Fox Talk” or something else more realistic…
Yesterday at 5:05am · Delete
Rick Hudson

Rick Hudson

Thermo-illuminant

panels will exist that are capable of displaying images (very much like

an LCD panel today), and will have thermal conductivity (like

Peltier-effect modules, only more efficient) and probably limited audio

transducer capabilities.

Businesses will cover walls with them

and will use applied advertising psychology to determine which

hues/temperature ranges will encourage more consumption.

Yesterday at 5:09am · Delete
Scott Turnbull

Scott Turnbull

Technology

will continue to be integrated with our bodies. Biometrics and RFID

tags will replace badges and keys. Subcutanenous wireless will replace

cellphone/texting/twitter... Health monitors will communicate directly with service centers. Think of it as Personal OnStar.

Yesterday at 5:39am · Delete
Kelly King

Kelly King

That personal link? How about a way to connect with
all the folks in your “community” (think facebook friends) by just speaking into space (think “Computer..” in Star Trek)

Some kind of vocal link always up. Have a question, comment, idea you want to discuss.
Read More
“Anybody know ….”

Other

folks who are lonely, unoccupied, bored and on your list hear the

question come out of the air (quietly, unless you say “what?” and then

it pipes up) and can respond… (would the computer automatically

filter who it’s sent to by content?)

I’m thinking of walking along in the woods and finding a mushroom.
“Anybody

have time to look at this mushroom and tell me what it is? Any chance

it’s edible?” accompanied by a picture I’ve just taken of the mushroom

projected onto the wall beside them

“Hi, Kel,” pipes up my

friend Pete who is walking down the street in Burlington, “It’s a

polypore of some kind, few of them are edible, but look in the same

area, there are often chanterelles nearby when you see those.”

“Thanks Pete, if I find a big stash I’ll bring you some”

Boy

we think cellphones are intrusive… how would we ever deal with

this… the social and distractable among us would go crazy…

As it is, jumping up to google stuff is distracting enough… what if I could just speak my idea, question etc into space…
ADD heaven or hell?

Yesterday at 5:42am · Delete
Chrisa Alberts

Chrisa Alberts

wait a minute, arent we going to die in 2012?? i am confused lolol
Yesterday at 5:55am · Delete
Ren Pearson

Ren Pearson

I shall be a happy employee of Spacely Sprockets.
Yesterday at 6:09am · Delete
Jennifer Trelewicz

Jennifer Trelewicz

2050 I do not know, but if the book “Metro 2033” is true, I think that we do not need to worry. 🙂
Yesterday at 6:21am · Delete
Shawn Umansky

Shawn Umansky

I agree with Scott.

I

think our bodies are destined to become the new frontier in technology

development. Probably more easily replaceable (mechanical?) parts

(though we’re doing pretty well on that today). Probably more capacity

to “customize” ourselves (i.e., eyecolor, height, etc.) though, that’s

begun as well, but is more at the genetic stage currrently.

I

envision technology that “enables” us to interact with our environment

without actually having to make physical contact with those objects.

Like a remote control, without the remote itself. We’ll have to

re-define the phrase “universal remote control.” Personal note: I

don’t like the idea that we’ll continue to perpetuate a co-existence

whereby individuals continue to increase the physical distance between

each other, but, alas, I don’t make the trends, I just see them.Read More

Capturing

information, experiences, and such will be first nature, and completely

integrated into daily life. No more taking your cell phone out of your

pocket to point, click, send, post, etc. All those steps will be

combined and made virtually invisible.

That’s off the top of my head.

Yesterday at 6:35am · Delete
Mike Olsen

Mike Olsen

I heard a stat that half of all babies born today in western countries will live to be 100.
Yesterday at 7:05am · Delete
Mike Olsen

Mike Olsen

cash

will no longer exist. your personal id card will be a multifunctional

driver’s license, passport, debit card, will contain all of your medial

information and will contain a copy of your hard drive (big strides in

memory….). You will not need to travel with a laptop because you will

carry your hard drive in your wallet. Cooler yet, combine my idea with

Scott’s.

Yesterday at 7:13am · Delete
Paul Dietz

Paul Dietz

I

think “trends” can be deceptive. When we were kids, time sharing and

mainframes were all the rage. Then PCs were king. Now, it’s all about

cloud computing. The world tends to bounce around more than we care to

admit. So here are some counter-intuitive predictions. Divergence will

be more important than convergence for the same reason screwdriversRead More

outsell Swiss army knives. Screens, which seem to be everywhere in

visions of the future, will not be nearly as ubiquitous or as relevant

as predicted. In a world of virtual experiences, people will

increasingly crave the real thing. That’s good news for parks (local,

national and theme), bad news for theaters. Universities, which have

thrived in recent years, will be failing in droves as the economy

recovers and the demographic bubble bursts. I’m guessing that something

similar to what’s been happening in healthcare will happen to education

– massive consolidation to the most successful brands. In any case, the

model where more and more people go to college and tuition increases

vastly out-pace inflation is fundamentally unsustainable. Something

will eventually break. More and more stuff will be made in China, until

the world moves on to the next low cost manufacturer (India, Brazil,

and ultimately, African countries?). Finally, most predictions will

ultimately be proven wrong, including these, except the ones that were

right…

Yesterday at 7:42am · Delete
Gary Beckwith

Gary Beckwith

Poverty

will be eliminated. All of our energy will come from renewable sources.

There will be a cure for cancer. There will be no wars.

Yesterday at 7:45am · Delete
Dave Holmes

Dave Holmes

String Theory will be proven and unseen dimensions will be detected, changing the illusion of reality closer to the truth.
Yesterday at 8:09am · Delete
Paul S. Makowenskyj

Paul S. Makowenskyj

ever watch the film “Idiocracy” http://www.metacafe.com/wa..tch/2682654/idiocracy_open..ing_sequence/ warning… just noticed it is not censored for offensive language.
Yesterday at 9:15am · Delete
Paul M Kruse

Paul M Kruse

The

happiest people will avoid technology whenever possible and strive for

simplicity (perhaps live off the land if we haven’t poisoned it all.)

Yesterday at 10:19am · Delete
Ryan Cornelius

Ryan Cornelius

Completely

automated, if not a smoldering ruin. I’m greatly looking forward to

bio-electric computers, cybernetics, cryogenics, carbon nanofibers, and

nanotech. Of course, the huge amount of resources required to produce

technology like that means that our supply chains must grow and

strengthen in order to maintain sustainability. I would also likeRead More

to see more community responsibility from our corporations and more

arts and humanities taught in schools. Just because science and

mathematics are becoming more necessary doesn’t mean that humanities

are expendable.

Yesterday at 11:34am · Delete
Ryan Kennedy

Ryan Kennedy

itll be like the colony thank god i learned the tools to survive from you haha
Yesterday at 12:07pm · Delete
Randy Darden

Randy Darden

Earlier

I was thinking about what the government would look like and I thought

of the “Idiocracy” movie (very funny but R-rated for sure). It seems

like we are heading towards complete reliance on the government. Will

we all end up working for the government producing for and providing

services to one another? Will the entitlement culture continue to grow?

I hope not but I’m thinking yes…

Yesterday at 12:26pm · Delete
Paul M Kruse

Paul M Kruse

@Ryan

C. I like what you wrote. Someplace I read a quote that basically

shared the message that one of the wonderful ways we use science is to

create beautiful art.
I also love science for its own sake. No argument from me there!

Yesterday at 12:31pm · Delete
Dave Holmes

Dave Holmes

I

think the Illuminati will be exposed and defeated creating a world of

peace and abundance. Watch the movie Zeitgesit for free on google video.

Yesterday at 12:36pm · Delete
Ryan Cornelius

Ryan Cornelius

@Paul:

Thanks. I’ve been reading up on the Kardashev scale and Olduvai theory.

As humanity comes to gather more and more energy resources around the

planet, I think that monetary systems will go the way of the dodo, and

people will use energy as a form of currency. At this point. if you

examine how much embodied energy our products contain, it Read Moreseems

like so much energy goes into producing more energy that we’re

spiraling out of control. If we can’t maintain our focus and create

more with less then we will never reach Type 1 threshold, and most

likely we will end up destroying our civilization in wars over energy

resources. Also, if we don’t ensure a sustainable industrial

sector,America isn’t going to enjoy much progress when the Chinese and

Indian economies move towards global dominance.

Yesterday at 12:49pm · Delete
John Valencia

John Valencia

Flying cars…..
11 hours ago · Delete
Joan Janik Bodendorf

Joan Janik Bodendorf

Read J.D. Robb. Junk but fun.
10 hours ago · Delete

Tuesday night – Obsolete

So.. I’m driving in to work this morning after dropping Gabe off at school, ready to get on my first call of the day. I was to have been talking to my friend Sridhar in India.. I dialed into the conf call then  BOINK .. my cell phone crashes. I have a blackberry.. I think the software on it is more complicated than the stuff on my laptop and about 10 times as buggy. I stopped the car and tried to reboot my phone.. I try artificial respiration, I try my most powerful magic.. nothing works. I have no choice but to pull out the battery and restart it that way. The trouble is.. it takes nearly 15 minutes to restart when I do that (why.. I can’t even begin to guess)… Meanwhile. poor Sridhar is sitting there waiting for me … and it’s nearly 9 PM there.. I start driving around looking for a pay phone.. Guess what.. they’re all either broken, non functional or they’ve been removed.   In the  end I was not able to find a public phone.. my phone came back to life and I finally connected with my friend. albeit 15 minutes late.. But.. the payphone predicament stuck with me..    Think about the last time YOU used a payphone.. // It’s been a while.. no ? They’ve been made completely obsolete by cell phones.. Pretty interesting that something that’s been an icon of communication for more than 80 years would disappear so suddenly… and that no one would even really take note that it was gone..

That got me thinking of the panel I’m to be on tomorrow night.. I and the other panelists are supposed to predict the future in 2050. What will things be like? What common things like pay phoens will have disappeared form the face of the earth ?   What new things will there be ? It’s interesting to note that most futurists of the last century failed to see the advent of such innovations as the cell phone, the internet and the personal computer. From what I can see.. most predictions for the future are either too bold (eg. flying cars, time machines, free lunch) or not bold enough linear predictions from where we are..

T Here are about 500 of you out there reading this tonight.. do you think you can help me out here ? What do YOU think the world of 2050 will bring ?! What new inventions will there be ? What will have disappeared ? What changes to society will have occurred  ? Will it be nirvana or hell ? or both.. or neither ? I’d like to hear what you think !  Please help me not suck tomorrow when I have to predict the future…

It’s only appropriate that I’m using myspace, facebook and twitter to make this plea… they weren’t predicted by anyone either

Night folks.. happy prophesying.. Nite Sam !
-me

Monday night – 300,000

I passed an interesting milestone today.. somewhere between 12:30 and 3:15  this afternoon, this blog had it’s 300,000th read.  was wondering if that 300K mark would actually occur on Nov 25th.. the

anniversary that I started writing here.. which was 3 days after Sam’s

passing. Tat’s what happened at the 1 year mark.. I had exactly 100,000

viewers on the year anniversary of starting here.. last year, things

had slowed down.. and I was onl at soemthign like 180,000 readers on

the 2nd anniversary.  This year I’m at 300,000 3 weeks early..  It’s a funny landmark.. Kind of meaningless, I know.. but as someone who’s neurotically obsessed with numbers.. and their occurrence, it was an interesting passing.

Here’s hit count at 9:30 AM (not counting RSS or readers  reading 1 of the two copies of the blog .. or reading it on facebook)

here it is at 12:30

And here just affter coriossing 300K at 3:15 PM

   You are probably saying to yourself.. ‘who cares’  .. and you’re right.. But I see significances in all sorts of numbers.

    I think there are no real coincidences.. just number sequences we’ve failed to follow.  . I have a ritual whenever a car I’m driving hits a magic number (eg, a 100K .,, or al digits the same.. eg 1111111) I feel compelled to get out of the car and run around it three times. I only make phen calls on even number seconds.. I only drink out of water glasses which have been filled three times.  I see special meaning in the number of hotel rooms that I’m given . I see portents, good or bad , in times of emails I receives..  n phone numbers, in addresses..  I subconsciously factor numbers (combination, hotel room  numbers, parts of phone numbers) to see if they might be prime numbers… like my lucky number (911 .. yes.. 911 ) . All in the hope of what ? … Perhaps in the hope of finding some clue … some answer … to this wacky universe.. perhaps of knowing g-d..   ?  

 Does that make me a bad person ?    Hope not…. 
OK.. enough.. time for bed. Night folks, night Sam !
-me

ps. I’ on a panel discussion on Wed night about predictions for the year 2050.. Anyone out there got soem cool predictions ?